Kerry got his data from wieslaw maslowski, a researcher from the naval postgraduate school in monterey, calif. Arctic shipping routes are the maritime paths used by vessels to navigate through parts or the entirety of the arctic. John kerrys 2009 claim that we would have an ice free arctic come 20. However, these models do tend to underestimate the rate of sea ice loss since 2007. The latest hockey stick shows that current warming is unprecedented. The us national snow and ice data center nsidc collects the observational data on the extent of arctic sea ice, delivering regular status bulletins.
The only thing bigger and stronger is the dumbness of those unteachable who still ignore all the failed predictions and rather serve their lust for. Arctic nearly free of summer sea ice during first half of 21st century, experts predict. Yet the guy who backed this statement won a nobel peace prize and is now a multi millionaire. Check out the arctic sea ice graphs website asig for daily updated graphs, maps, live webcam images and the arctic sea ice forum asif for detailed discussions. Jul 05, 2019 consider using the privacy respecting browser brave. Dec 12, 2007 in the end, it will just melt away quite suddenly. Arctic sea ice minimum in 20 is sixth lowest on record nasa. See video the governmentfunded bbc hyped the mass hysteria, running a nowembarrassing article under the headline. In fact, the arctic did the exact opposite of what gore predicted and increased 50 percent from 2012 levels. Its been seven years since his prediction and the arctic is still full of ice. None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true. Al gore predicted arctic summer ice could disappear. In subsequent years, the icefree window will widen, to 23 months, then 45. Study predicts an icefree arctic by the 2050s by university at albany accelerated climate warming could bring an ice free september to the arctic by 2054, a university at albany study predicts.
The clamor is being raised over al gores nobel prize acceptance speech quote supposedly saying that arctic sea ice would be gone by 20. In fact, during october, sea ice levels grew at the fastest pace since records began in 1979. Graph of sea ice loss maximum and minimum from 1979 through 20, from the national snow and ice data center. About a million more square miles of ocean are covered in ice in 20 than in 2012, a whopping 60 percent increase and a dramatic deviation from predictions of an ice free arctic in 20, the.
Al gore famously predicted in 2008 that the arctic would be ice free within five years so by 20. Scientists in the us have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of arctic sea ice. The claim that gore predicted an icefree arctic in 2014 is a. Jul 11, 2017 say goodbye to polar bears and a whole lot of ice. They provide links to all the usual suspects regarding algores claims, i. Al gore predicted arctic summer ice could disappear in. Predictions of an icefree arctic ocean climate dispatch.
A 2007 prediction that summer in the north pole could be ice free by 20 that was cited by former vice president al gore in his nobel peace prize acceptance speech has proven to be off by 920,000 square miles. Arctic summers icefree by 20 scientists in the us have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of arctic sea ice. Scientists who predicted a few years ago that arctic summers could be ice free by 20. The arctic ocean will be ice free in summer by midcentury. We know its possible, what is left to understand are the conditions which may produce such an event. Al gore forecast icefree arctic by 20 instead, ice.
Ice cover expands 50% written by alex newman selfstyled globalwarming guru al gore shown and a gaggle of supposed climate scientists have egg all over their faces big time. Kerry claims the arctic will be icefree by summer 20. I dont buy into the scare tactics that changes in arctic ice pack means more than a hill of beans but clearly algore was caught lying or at least making idiotic claims that have been shown to be idiotic yet alarmists still try to protect him. Talking about icefree arctic often triggers a lot of shouts and accusations of catastrophism. Sciencenature arctic summers icefree by 20 bbc news. Predictably, the voices of denial are rising as arctic sea ice melt season peaks and ranks only fifthlowest ever. Global warming alarmists now tell us they predicted this, despite our collective memories to. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice free in summers within just 56 years. A 2007 prediction that summer in the north pole could be icefree by 20 that was cited by former vice president al. National strategy on the arctic region frames the wholeofgovernment approach that.
Global warming alarmists and climate scientists have predicted that the arctic ocean will be ice free by 1979, or 2000, or 2008, or 2012, or 20, or 2015, or 2020, or 2030, or 2050 or there is some debate about whether an ice free arctic ocean would be a good thing or a bad thing. The passage of time has not been kind to the arctics fortunes. Yet, we know that the arctic has already been ice free in summer before. Kerry claims the arctic will be icefree by summer 20 politifact. Charlatans of the arctic laughing stock icefreearctic. Remember those climate crooks who forecast that there would be no ice left at the north pole by 20.
Well, 20 is almost over, and contrary to the alarmist predictions by gore and what critics refer to as his doomsday cult, the latest satellite data show that arctic ice cover has. The current greenland warming, while not yet quite matching the temperatures of 70 years ago walt meier nsidc examination of several proxy records e. There are three main routes that connect the atlantic and the pacific oceans. Models that best match historical trends project a nearly ice free arctic in the summer by the 2030s. In the late 2000s, al gore made a series of highprofile statements suggesting the possibility that arctic sea ice could be completely gone during the summer by around 20 or 2014. In 2012, which was admittedly a low year, the total volume was about 6,000 cubic kilometers in other words. Arctic sea ice experienced record 60percent growth in august 20 compared to august 2012. Based on the outcomes of several different models, overland and wang 20 put the early limit for a sea ice free summer arctic near 2040. If i said this i would be locked up in a mental asylum.
Feb 20, 2020 if i said this i would be locked up in a mental asylum. But in 20, arctic sea ice coverage was up 50 percent from 2012 levels. May 28, 20 in march 20, the arctic ice reached its. Image caption the researchers are now working with a new computer model for arctic sea ice. Global warming alarmists and climate scientists have predicted that the arctic ocean will be icefree by 1979, or 2000, or 2008, or 2012, or 20, or 2015, or 2020, or 2030, or 2050 or there is some debate about whether an icefree arctic ocean would be a good thing or a bad thing. When will the summer arctic be nearly sea ice free. Arctic sea ice news and analysis sea ice data updated daily. Presenting the findings of his modeling studies at the american geophysical union. No one knows when well have the first icefree arctic summerextrapolating into the future can be difficultbut one thing we can bet on. In fact, during october, sea ice levels grew at the fastest pace since records began in. Icefree arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe scientist. Us navy predicts summer ice free arctic by 2016 nafeez ahmed.
Nov 14, 2016 modelling of arctic sea ice by the met office hadley centre climate model shows that ice invariably recovers from extreme events, and that the longterm trend of reduction is robust with the first icefree summer expected to occur between 2060 and 2080. Al gore predicted arctic summer ice could disappear in 20, september, 20, first paragraph. Overall the statistical and modelbased predictions. Bbc news sciencenature arctic summers icefree by 20. Those three survived so many armageddons in the past few years and grew bigger and stronger instead of disappearing as predicted. Global warming alarmists now tell us they predicted this, despite our collective memories to the contrary. There is a gap, however, in understanding how to reconcile what is currently happening with sea ice in the arctic and climate model projections of arctic sea ice loss. Sep 08, 20 the remaining sea ice may abruptly vanish, or it may hold on for a few decades longer.
We previously examined various predictions of the annual arctic sea ice extent september minimum from 2008 through 2012, using a variety of methodologies statistical, modeling, andor other. How predictable is the first icefree arctic summer. Arctic sea ice delusions strike the mail on sunday and. Sir charles on a proof that greenhouse gas dr sir charles on a proof that greenhouse gas dr ed darrell on phil jones removing the 1940. Icefree arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe. Well, 20 is almost over, and contrary to the alarmist predictions by gore and what critics refer to as his doomsday cult, the latest satellite data show that arctic ice cover has actually expanded 50 percent over 2012 levels. Remember all those breathy predictions about an ice free. Reducing spread in climate model projections of a september ice free arctic, pnas, published online before print july 15, 20, doi. However, this is the prediction uncertainty in just one model the community earth system model. It has been 10 years since the us navy predicted the arctic would be icefree by 20.
The recent image below, by the danish meteorological institute, shows the decline in extent over the past few days, with extent calculated by including all areas with ice concentration higher than 30%. Gore was echoing the predictions made by american scientist wieslaw maslowsk in 2007, who said that you can argue that may be our projection of an ice free arctic by 20 is already too conservative. What follows is a collection of notably wild predictions from notable people in government and science. Remember all those breathy predictions about an ice free arctic. You will be able to cross over the north pole by ship. Where scientists once predicted the arctic would be icefree by the end of the century, they revised their estimates in recent months to 2030 and now stunningly to 20. New research suggests the arctic ocean could be ice free in summer by 2015, with devastating consequences for the world. Jul 21, 2015 arctic ice grew by a third after cool summer in 20. The arctic ice cap has grown this summer by nearly a million square miles of ice right at the time warming loons predicted complete disappearance of the ice cap, and co2 has reached the climategeddon level of over 400 ppm. It might not be as early as 20 but it will be soon, much earlier than 2040.
Where scientists once predicted the arctic would be icefree by the end of the. Another christmas present for america 6 responses to us navy. Shrinking arctic ice will lead to icefree summers live. Scientists who predicted a few years ago that arctic summers could be ice free by 20 now say summer. Is conventional modelling out of pace with speed and abruptness of global warming. In 2007, 2008 and 2009, gore publicly and very hysterically warned that the north pole would be ice free by around 20 because of alleged manmade global warming. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice. An unusually cold arctic summer has resulted in almost a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice compared to the same time last year, bucking predictions that global warming would result in the disappearance of the ice cap by 20. According to the mailonline, arctic sea ice averaged 2. Where scientists once predicted the arctic would be ice free by the end of the century, they revised their estimates in recent. National snow and ice data center, arctic ice melts quickly through july, aug. Arctic ice grew by a third after cool summer in 20. The passage of time has not been kind to the arctic s fortunes. Next year or the year after that, i think it will be free of ice in summer and by that i mean the central arctic will be ice free.
Dec 14, 2007 the passage of time has not been kind to the arctic s fortunes. By jonathan amos science reporter, bbc news, san francisco. Arctic sea ice is melting and thinning at an alarming pace, according to nasa scientists. Pentagon climate change to destroy civilization by 2020.
Well, 20 is over, and contrary to the alarmist predictions by gore and what critics refer to as his doomsday cult, the latest satellite data show that arctic ice cover has actually expanded 50% over 2012 levels. After 2015, if the arctic becomes ice free in the summer, is there a heightened danger of methane release. Bbc news sciencenature arctic summers ice free by 20. What we do know is that given its rapid decline, an ice free arctic appears to be not a question of if, but when. The remaining sea ice may abruptly vanish, or it may hold on for a few decades longer. John kerry says climate change is happening faster than we think. The graph above shows arctic sea ice extent as of february 4, 20, along with daily ice extent data for the previous five years. Next year or the year after, the arctic will be free of ice. What we do know is that given its rapid decline, an ice free arctic appears to.
In the arctic, for example, data collected by europes cryosat spacecraft pointed to about 9,000 cubic kilometers of ice at the end of the 20 melt season. Consider using the privacy respecting browser brave. If current melting trends persist, the arctic could experience ice free summers by 2050. Top 5 failed snow free and ice free predictions the. Although global warming guru al gore warned the north pole would be icefree by 20 from alleged manmade global warming, its ice cover has expanded 50%. Dec 19, 20 al gore forecast icefree arctic by 20 instead, ice cover expands 50% december 19, 20 by robert selfstyled globalwarming guru al gore shown and a gaggle of supposed climate scientists have egg all over their faces big time, says this article by alex newman. The newest item in the list of predictions that simply didnt pan out. Sep 21, 20 the extent of the melting of arctic sea ice has reached its peak for 20, and the ice is now growing again as the seasons change into fall and winter, say scientists at the national snow and ice. Aug 08, 20 study predicts an ice free arctic by the 2050s by university at albany accelerated climate warming could bring an ice free september to the arctic by 2054, a university at albany study predicts. Bbc, arctic summers ice free by 20, by jonathan amos, dec. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be icefree in summers within just 56 years.
Arctic summers icefree by 20 by jonathan amos science reporter, bbc news, san francisco arctic summer melting in 2007 set new records. Bbc, al gore forecasted icefree arctic by 20 climate. Our simulations put the first ice free arctic summer at some point between 2032 and 2053 for the high emission pathway, and between 2043 and 2058 for medium emission. Sep 12, 20 arctic sea ice experienced record 60percent growth in august 20 compared to august 2012. Sep, 20 a 2007 prediction that summer in the north pole could be icefree by 20 that was cited by former vice president al gore in his nobel peace prize acceptance speech has proven to be off by 920,000 square miles. Sea ice dominates the lower left half of the image.
Sea ice extent fluctuates naturally, but the trend is unmistakable. But they say 20 was a oneoff and that climate change will continue to shrink the ice in the. Aug 23, 20 arctic sea ice is melting and thinning at an alarming pace, according to nasa scientists. Arctic was ice free in notes to ponder on 45 years since paul ehrlich wa gator69 on a proof that greenhouse gas dr gator69 on toto has moved. The graph above shows arctic sea ice extent as of april 1, 2020, along with daily ice extent data for four previous years and the record low year. We have almost reached the end of the 20 melting season, perhaps even earlier than in the last couple of years. The graph above shows arctic sea ice extent as of september 30, 20, along with daily ice extent data for the previous five years.
Apr 08, 2011 image caption the researchers are now working with a new computer model for arctic sea ice. An area of the arctic sea ice pack roughly northeast of the new siberian islands, captured by multiple orbits of the modis instrument on nasas terra satellite on sept. It has been 10 years since the us navy predicted the arctic would be ice free by 20. An icefree arctic ocean is often defined as having less than 1. The corrupt bbc reported the junk science forecasts back in 2007 former us vice president al gore cited professor maslowskis analysis on monday in his acceptance speech at the nobel peace prize ceremony in oslo. Leading arctic expert prof wadhams warns that a summer ice free arctic in 2 years could trigger dangerous methane release. Shrinking arctic ice will lead to icefree summers live science. Sep 18, 2019 modern doomsayers have been predicting climate and environmental disaster since the 1960s. Bbc news sciencenature arctic summers ice free by 20 since then, there has been a huge increase in the amount of arctic ice.